Complex-Departure
0x96fc07754ed0f020dbededc64021054228476119
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-34.15
Win rate
0%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.92
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
300 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-129.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
106 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
101 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.20
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
46 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.27
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
37 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
35 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$8.54Aug 17, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.27Aug 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$6.77Aug 10, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.71Aug 10, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$26.11Aug 7, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.09Aug 7, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.00Aug 7, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.70Aug 7, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.76Aug 6, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.49Aug 6, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4.57Aug 6, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$22.64Aug 5, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.03Aug 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.62Aug 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.29Aug 5, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.00Aug 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.72Aug 5, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.00Aug 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.77Aug 4, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.00Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
198 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.