Common-Dawn
0x96fd48409065d0397fe8fc046c4d1e0640e862f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$23.84
Total PnL
$-247.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
211 shares @ 31.5¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.35
$-45.27
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
250 shares @ 40.1¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-97.50
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
22300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.37
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
4984 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
200 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$0.00Dec 30, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5PM ET$23.82Dec 30, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?$0.00Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?$0.00Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?$0.00Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$0.00Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5PM ET$16.18Dec 29, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5PM ET$20.00Dec 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$10.00Dec 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?$10.00Dec 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$5.00Dec 28, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?$5.00Dec 28, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?$58.26Dec 27, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?$2.00Dec 27, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?$6.00Dec 27, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?$10.00Dec 27, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?$3.08Dec 27, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$20.00Dec 26, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?$19.20Dec 26, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.