Defensive-Snuck
0x96fdc65f91d9b885c64b674a538d41270697e80c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$581.54
Total PnL
$-166.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed rate cut in 2025?
273 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$272.78
$72.78
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
188 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$187.93
$9.40
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$72.46
$22.46
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.98
$1.98
- NO
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.39
$6.39
- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$1.60
- YES
Alan Garber out as Harvard President before July?
862 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-28.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
320 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$8.40Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$48.00Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$50.00Aug 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$15.00Aug 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$100.00Aug 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?$5.00Aug 22, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?$115.01Aug 22, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$211.54Aug 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$36.50Aug 22, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$78.53Jun 5, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$100.00Jun 5, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Xi talk before July?$128.54Jun 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$4.02Jun 4, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$1.07Jun 3, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$0.03Jun 3, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$3.20Jun 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$20.00Jun 2, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael parliament dissolved in 2025?$10.00Jun 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out in 2025?$10.00Jun 2, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$36.00Jun 2, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $74.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".