0x972ee5407f0e0ed12623fabac7e8c08fb38fe926
0x972ee5407f0e0ed12623fabac7e8c08fb38fe926
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$513.28
Total PnL
$-71.75
Realised
$-51.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 22?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$50.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$50.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$50.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$50.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 23?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$49.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
47 shares @ 83.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$46.37
$6.77
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 22?
42 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$41.80
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$37.69
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$32.39
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 24?
29 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$29.03
$0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?$1.52Jun 22, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?$1.36Jun 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?$1.31Jun 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?$2.51Jun 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?$2.41Jun 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?$2.07Jun 22, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?$3.94Jun 22, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?$32.75Jun 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?$50.50Jun 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?$38.09Jun 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 24?$28.83Jun 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 24?$50.50Jun 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 23?$50.52Jun 22, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?$20.47Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$50.05Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 24?$15.34Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?$40.32Jun 22, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?$41.98Jun 22, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 21?$49.49Jun 22, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?$109.64Jun 22, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.