Optimistic-Episode
0x973d5bed6233ec988c0f7b33d9494e4739b4f6c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$520.23
Total PnL
$0.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
500 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$500.00
$0.50
- NO
Ethereum above $4,000 on August 4?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$15.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$499.50Feb 26, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4,000 on August 4?$15.00Aug 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$1.00Aug 2, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before July?$20.14Aug 2, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill TikTok be banned before July?$20.22Aug 2, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI buy X before July?$547.48Aug 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI buy X before July?$165.56Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI buy X before July?$381.37Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be banned before July?$20.00Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$4.00Jun 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before July?$20.00Jun 24, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?$10.00Jun 24, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$10.31Jun 24, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$16.13Jun 24, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$65.85Jun 24, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?$9.86Dec 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$498.50Dec 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$564.72Dec 28, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$12.20Dec 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$10.00Nov 20, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $167.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.