Tired-Tophat
0x97481deb70f36e92021126d3da9cd232a36a659c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.83
Total PnL
$-4.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi hug on Thursday?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?$1.00Jan 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$3.00Jan 28, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?$1.00Jan 28, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$0.00Oct 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.00Oct 29, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$1.69Oct 29, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug on Thursday?$1.00Oct 29, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.