Simplistic-Bunch
0x97488fd9e90a1be044b2bd9cbeefa05c45ca5df8
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$620.56
Total PnL
$-45.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
390 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$390.10
$2.05
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
230 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$230.47
$2.54
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
520 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-18.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
447 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on December 22?
393 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
350 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.05
- YES
Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
294 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$227.93Mar 30, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$388.05Mar 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$15.05Mar 24, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?$410.00Dec 29, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on December 22?$4.20Dec 19, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?$409.18Nov 22, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$18.72Nov 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.41Nov 1, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved by July 31?$170.00Oct 29, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$210.00Oct 29, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$209.58Oct 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$2.32Sep 27, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$143.09Jul 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$122.02Jul 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$21.22Jul 5, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana ETF approved by July 31?$168.98Jul 4, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?$0.00Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?$0.00Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kafka Hibino win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?$320.17Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?$8.80Jun 14, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $573.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".