Polished-Dividend
0x97489414f3efdce7e1d69347bb762e1a7161fb1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$3.88
Total PnL
$-24.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.6¢·now 75.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2050 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2006 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2006 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2004 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2004 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$1.08Jan 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$1.03Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.04Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$2.02Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$2.05Jan 7, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.04Dec 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Dec 11, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.03Dec 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$2.04Dec 8, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.