Calculating-Hobby
0x975c374f66c7ad84e5f7d3c1c6ace9427e5d2534
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-259.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$4.23
$0.93
- YES
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
1207 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 3 ET?
377 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
291 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?
186 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
121 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.70
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?$3.30Jan 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$2.00Jan 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$10.00Oct 1, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$13.00Oct 1, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 3 ET?$10.00Oct 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?$10.00Oct 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$33.29Oct 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10 ET?$2.00Sep 30, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?$15.00Sep 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$20.00Sep 30, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Sep 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.00Sep 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$25.00Sep 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$15.00Aug 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$15.00Aug 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$25.00Aug 13, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jul 7, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $10.00Jun 28, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$142.04Jun 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?$53.70Jun 17, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $21.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".