Far-Off-Favor
0x975dfcf6d2d8268f563c693fc748ae58876f01be
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$488.43
Total PnL
$-311.74
Realised
$-274.17
Win rate
36%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
120 shares @ 22.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.60
$-1.88
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
123 shares @ 16.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.06
$-1.14
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
250 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$-1.70
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
250 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.24
$-4.47
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
146 shares @ 11.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.30
$-1.45
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
50 shares @ 25.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.75
$-0.06
- YES
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
54 shares @ 21.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.16
$0.77
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
52 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
52 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
54 shares @ 25.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.00
$-2.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?$5.98Jul 3, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?$3.07Jul 3, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?$4.43Jul 3, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$12.50Jul 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.87Jul 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?$5.25Jul 3, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$11.86Jul 3, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?$1.04Jul 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?$1.04Jul 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?$2.07Jul 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?$6.21Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?$8.28Jul 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?$4.15Jul 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?$5.05Jul 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?$2.00Jul 3, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?$0.95Jul 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?$2.00Jul 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?$2.00Jul 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$10.43Jul 3, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?$5.50Jul 3, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
45 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.