Far-Off-Favor
0x975dfcf6d2d8268f563c693fc748ae58876f01be
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$546.22
Total PnL
$-913.65
Realised
$-816.90
Win rate
6%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?
100 shares @ 28.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.08
$-6.54
- YES
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?
98 shares @ 22.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.07
$-0.76
- YES
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
53 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.42
$-0.54
- YES
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?
52 shares @ 30.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.23
$-0.31
- YES
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?
62 shares @ 23.5¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.88
$0.30
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?
54 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.47
$-0.54
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
52 shares @ 27.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.73
$-0.49
- YES
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?
52 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.07
$-1.04
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$16.78Aug 23, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?$0.12Aug 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?$2.76Aug 23, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?$12.37Aug 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?$13.38Aug 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$4.15Aug 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$1.03Aug 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?$11.34Aug 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$10.29Aug 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$11.34Aug 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$4.15Aug 23, 07:57 UTC
- REWARD$16.38Aug 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$7.00Aug 22, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$5.00Aug 22, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$9.80Aug 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?$10.50Aug 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$3.50Aug 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$0.28Aug 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?$4.70Aug 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?$22.49Aug 22, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
64 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.