Damaged-Trigger
0x97651161355efdf5891e80f5bf244abd04d3d2db
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-375.65
Realised
$-45.79
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET
7280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
596 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
226 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1PM ET
97 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-58.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
55 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
41 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
23 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
22 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-12.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9.91Jan 31, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jan 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jan 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.43Jan 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jan 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.03Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.10Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.04Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.12Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.29Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.17Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.09Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.29Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.37Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.98Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.60Jan 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.15Jan 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.12Jan 31, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.05Jan 31, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.