Dry-Signup
0x9767e72e123ef0f146fe2e4b471cefe0ee7abcb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-78.65
Realised
$-9.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
1151 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
171 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.01Apr 12, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$20.31Apr 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.00Apr 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$20.00Apr 9, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$7.00Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$15.00Apr 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$5.24Apr 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.76Apr 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?$4.24Apr 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$20.00Apr 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$10.64Apr 8, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$10.00Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$10.00Apr 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$20.00Apr 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$20.15Apr 8, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.