Impossible-Pinecone
0x97714c2f2737c359f1068b47b895dac84447db67
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$167.36
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$2.25
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 10?
159 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$10.31
$2.38
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$0.10
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
200 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$9.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 10?
130 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$8.46
$1.95
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.10
$0.10
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$7.60
$-0.80
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by August 31?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$7.06
$6.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 10?
153 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$6.14
$-1.53
- YES
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$4.20
- YES
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.70
$3.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 10?$2.63Aug 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 10?$0.79Aug 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by August 22?$4.80Aug 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.50Aug 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.33Aug 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.23Aug 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10?$0.48Aug 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10?$0.32Aug 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 10?$1.00Aug 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?$0.52Aug 10, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?$0.28Aug 10, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?$0.80Aug 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?$1.00Aug 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 10?$0.50Aug 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 10?$0.66Aug 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 10?$3.00Aug 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 10?$1.23Aug 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?$0.30Aug 10, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?$1.00Aug 10, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 11?$1.00Aug 10, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.