Spiteful-Barbeque
0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-139.32
Realised
$30.02
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$479.70
$179.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$120.30
$-179.70
- NO
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
215 shares @ 98.8¢·now 51.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$111.16
$-101.20
- NO
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $18B?
113 shares @ 87.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$109.48
$10.57
- NO
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
100 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$98.45
$-0.95
- NO
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $20B?
80 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$77.92
$1.52
- NO
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
100 shares @ 99.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.55
$-47.55
- NO
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.35
$-0.15
- NO
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $19B?
50 shares @ 65.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$47.94
$15.39
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?
26 shares @ 95.8¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.94
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?$19.98Jul 29, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?$0.25Jul 29, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?$0.17Jul 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?$0.41Jul 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?$0.80Jul 29, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?$1.40Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?$1.00Jul 29, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?$12.60Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor Shellenberger win the 2026 PLL MVP award?$0.80Jul 29, 04:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$7.48Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.46Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award?$1.60Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.10Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.10Jul 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award?$1.67Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award?$1.60Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award?$1.67Jul 28, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 27 and 28 million views on day 3?$0.59Jul 28, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 27 and 28 million views on day 3?$2.00Jul 28, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.