Indelible-Oyster
0x9793031523f4b7a0fa7ec00089b29fac94b1789c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$653.45
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-107.75
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
15509 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$620.37
$-61.57
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
2451 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$33.09
$-50.92
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
627756 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
612000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-612.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
596967 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
428851 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-789.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
190123 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?
95181 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
42136 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-117.73
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31963 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-903.51
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.10Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4.19Jul 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$395.27Jul 29, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$83.87Jul 29, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$314.36Jul 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4.94Jul 29, 15:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.46Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$342.26Jul 9, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?$51.48Jul 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$102.87Jul 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?$1.69Jul 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$246.86Jul 9, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?$102.96Jul 9, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?$102.96Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$102.87Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?$102.98Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?$102.93Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?$102.82Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $174.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.