Annual-Beach
0x97971fc150dda73fed035f039f576d40a08c2532
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.92
Total PnL
$6.23
Realised
$1.96
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.50
$1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 24?
344 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.38
$1.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on July 27?
244 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.10
$0.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 23?
419 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.84
$0.42
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
301 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.75
$0.45
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
289 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.72
$0.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
426 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.64
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 21?$0.08Jul 22, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 22?$0.08Jul 22, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 21?$0.07Jul 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 21?$0.04Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C or below on July 23?$0.00Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on July 23?$0.01Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C or below on July 23?$0.01Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 22?$0.08Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on July 23?$0.00Jul 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 22?$0.08Jul 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.