0x97a312a8f5734e71800b1a087bb2fd5994fc3f4f
0x97a312a8f5734e71800b1a087bb2fd5994fc3f4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.15
Total PnL
$-8.84
Realised
$-1.97
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$8.92
$3.92
- NO
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-28?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.47
$0.45
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
13 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.15Jul 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?$2.02Jul 22, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.01Jul 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?$2.08Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?$0.00Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?$10.71Jul 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?$10.20Jul 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?$5.11Jul 21, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$10.69Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.21Jul 21, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.01Jul 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$56.81Jul 21, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$50.42Jul 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$33.81Jul 21, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$20.58Jul 21, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$18.80Jul 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$10.33Jul 21, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $8.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.