Far-Off-Millet
0x97ae37d6b5c6ca9e0d4d15e671c6388126217efc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-116.42
Realised
$2.43
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
174 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
83 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.54
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?
82 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
39 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
24 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$305.08Mar 8, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?$10.60Mar 7, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$180.00Mar 7, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$183.15Mar 6, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$110.00Mar 6, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$30.81Mar 5, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.20Mar 5, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.20Mar 5, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.50Mar 5, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.43Mar 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$3.11Mar 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Mar 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.05Mar 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.