Beloved-Venti
0x97b31e59f7cf4bdd0b2cabc30b6cc89cb22c0d4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-802.97
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.38
$1.38
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
FC St. Pauli 1910 leading at halftime?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
972 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10PM ET
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 19?
449 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
342 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 19?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
237 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-30?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.29Jul 19, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-12?$1.02Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMManchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5$1.21Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$2.04Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-12?$2.06Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-12?$2.27Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-11?$2.44Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10PM ET$2.96Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?$3.29Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?$3.43Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$4.20Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?$7.66Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$11.35Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$53.13Jun 17, 16:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.30Apr 15, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$22.14Apr 14, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.