Innocent-Birdcage
0x97b717c770cce1562c96cea2d5ea0a1c67688949
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$4.03
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will any country leave NATO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?$1.01Dec 11, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 11, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$400.00Dec 1, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$500.00Dec 1, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$500.00Dec 1, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$500.00Dec 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$200.00Dec 1, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.60Dec 1, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$247.40Dec 1, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$98.40Dec 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$151.60Dec 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$250.00Dec 1, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$460.00Dec 1, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$500.00Nov 29, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$230.00Nov 29, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$250.00Nov 29, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$102.60Nov 29, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$147.40Nov 29, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $178.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".