Suspicious-Offering
0x97be330eac2e5513c202a80ca479a327aa835ffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$88.56
Total PnL
$-232.52
Realised
$-54.04
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$24.56
$0.98
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
18 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.43
$0.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
11 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.68
$0.47
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.88
$1.58
- YES
Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?
1270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
1120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
116 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-107.60
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$8.35Jul 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$23.65Jul 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$10.24Jul 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.16Jul 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$17.90Jul 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.22Jul 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.55Jul 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$5.97Jul 15, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.45Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.99Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$3.45Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$4.08Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$11.38Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$13.18Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$13.97Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$30.99Jul 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.22Jun 27, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.32Jun 27, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.20Jun 27, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$11.02Jun 27, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.