Ideal-Revenant
0x97c3ea95fd35d8821fde034eca4c850ba984b25a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$180.87
Total PnL
$0.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
45 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
45 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
40 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$40.01May 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$40.00May 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$45.02May 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$45.00May 19, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.00May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.03May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$20.02May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?$20.02May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$20.04May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$20.04May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$30.03May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math on March 31?$30.03May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?$30.06May 19, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?$20.00Mar 7, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.00Mar 7, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$30.00Mar 7, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?$30.00Mar 7, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $39.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.