Innocent-Aide
0x97f0ece9895ce83673f69082bb96804be960bb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$28.28
Total PnL
$-78.04
Realised
$12.61
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$19.32
$16.75
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 28?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.50
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 28?
32 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.60
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?
7 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.49
$0.23
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 28?
34 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.36
$-1.70
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 28?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.13
$-0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
1643 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 28?$0.11Jul 27, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 28?$0.60Jul 27, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?$4.55Jul 27, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 28?$0.45Jul 26, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 28?$0.73Jul 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$1.31Jul 26, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 28?$2.59Jul 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 28?$0.48Jul 26, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 28?$1.62Jul 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 26, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?$4.75Jul 26, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$1.04Jul 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 28?$1.71Jul 26, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 23?$1.43Jul 26, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$2.00Jul 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?$1.00Jul 23, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$1.25Jul 23, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.