Vague-Bonfire
0x97f6f1ecfb90f74043c03e3c2cfcedb12dc0919f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.43
Total PnL
$-2.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$7.81
$2.81
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$5.62
$0.62
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$0.00Apr 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 425-449 times April 4 - 11?$0.11Apr 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?$0.07Apr 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 7, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 6, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$5.00Apr 4, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 4, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 4, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?$0.00Apr 4, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?$0.00Apr 4, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?$0.00Apr 4, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$25.40Apr 4, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?$0.00Apr 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$1.00Apr 4, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$6.00Apr 4, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?$1.00Apr 4, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?$5.00Apr 4, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$4.50Apr 3, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?$4.00Apr 3, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?$6.16Apr 3, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".