Tangible-Communist
0x97f974a03b61466a668b0dc2172f74d46bb06976
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down - October 15
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BAUTISTA
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedov
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?$1.00Nov 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?$1.00Nov 10, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$3.85Nov 5, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLVon der Leyen out in 2025?$0.38Oct 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.05Oct 28, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?$0.78Oct 27, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$2.00Oct 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$3.70Oct 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$1.00Oct 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$1.00Oct 21, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBautista vs. Nurmagomedov$1.00Oct 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$1.00Oct 19, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$1.00Oct 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.49Oct 19, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down - October 15$1.00Oct 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out in 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$1.00Oct 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.00Oct 6, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.