Musty-Godmother
0x98074758610caeaf9ecc6e8a10e65c8410b54bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.7K
Realised
$-7.7K
Win rate
8%
193 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
12162 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6AM ET
2278 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-615.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
1800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
1700 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
1600 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
1583 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
1575 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
1421 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1312 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$14.36Aug 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.30Aug 21, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.07Aug 21, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$20.32Aug 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.07Aug 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8.36Aug 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.43Aug 20, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$19.81Aug 20, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$14.44Aug 20, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.69Aug 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$8.40Aug 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$18.55Aug 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$8.39Aug 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$8.54Aug 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$8.38Aug 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$32.21Aug 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.17Aug 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.25Aug 20, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$19.87Aug 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.25Aug 20, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 193 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
193 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 193 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.