Pungent-Bite
0x980e5518c8f1d0db0352e2777710138180525487
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-508.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
6200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
3100 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-328.30
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
1116 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
562 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-32.64
- YES
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?
167 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-68.64
- YES
Will Trump say "Lisp" at his press conference?
154 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2024$0.00
$-16.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?$328.30Jan 20, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$328.29Jan 20, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$333.88Jan 20, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? $333.89Jan 20, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$10.00Jan 10, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? $10.00Jan 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$22.64Jan 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?$22.64Jan 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?$98.11Jan 7, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? $100.00Jan 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?$209.37Jan 5, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$31.00Jan 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$31.00Jan 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?$96.42Jan 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump fires campaign manager in August? $83.78Aug 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Lisp" at his press conference?$16.67Aug 15, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $150 on August 16?$16.68Aug 15, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump fires campaign manager in August? $95.75Aug 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?$68.64Aug 14, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $150 on August 16?$25.00Aug 14, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $113.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.