0x980e796324937ebf1cb1bd6dea1c6c66defe8ee2
0x980e796324937ebf1cb1bd6dea1c6c66defe8ee2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$15.86
Total PnL
$2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.43
$2.43
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 10 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.36
$1.36
- NO
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 10 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 10 2026?$1.01Aug 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$1.03Aug 11, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?$1.39Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.52Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.92Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?$1.96Aug 10, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?$1.01Aug 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 10 2026?$1.03Aug 10, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$1.25Aug 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?$1.02Aug 9, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$1.00Aug 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.02Aug 9, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.02Aug 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$1.00Aug 8, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.02Aug 8, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 7?$1.45Aug 7, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026?$2.63Aug 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 7, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.