Wallet digest

active

Activity score

45/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-12.8K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1971 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1971 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
1970 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1970 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1970 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-985.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1970 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1970 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-985.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1968 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-984.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1968 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-984.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1968 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-984.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.97Jan 16, 03:07 UTC
REDEEMWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$1.01Jan 16, 03:00 UTC
TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 06:27 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 06:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.9KDec 11, 06:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.0KDec 11, 05:09 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.0KDec 11, 05:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$10.00Dec 11, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$15.00Dec 11, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$970.50Dec 11, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$975.50Dec 11, 04:05 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 04:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity25 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 9
Avg trade size: $656.55
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 11, 03:17 UTC
Last active: Jan 16, 03:07 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:25:24 UTC·src:Polymarket Data