Well-Documented-Game-Chopsticks
0x981859dfc2012fc986d1646cd494b6700631fb46
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-782.32
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
280 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
29 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
28 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$2.60Jul 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$2.03Jul 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$2.40Jul 13, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$2.09Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.11Jul 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.09Jul 13, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.11Jul 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$3.94Jul 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.12Jul 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$2.20Jul 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$2.44Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$3.80Jul 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.23Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.12Jul 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.85Jul 13, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.