Half-Wallaby
0x9819e61c95d046728b8dab07c10b7a0b68e5c010
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$129.69
Realised
$-49.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
840 shares @ 54.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$839.72
$379.72
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
334 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$333.82
$108.82
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1482 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
536 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Seychelles win on 2025-10-10?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?
176 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jan 30, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$10.41Jan 30, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$20.30Jan 30, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$21.28Jan 30, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$37.98Jan 30, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$136.07Jan 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$94.82Jan 30, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$460.00Jan 30, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$225.00Jan 30, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 29, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 28, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 27, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 26, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 25, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 24, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 23, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 22, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 21, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 20, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 19, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $259.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".