Delightful-Therapy
0x981a7e13d77cef470118ca8772f173a859549108
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-208.63
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
140 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-123.00
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
30 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 26 at 4PM ET?
15 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?
12 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
12 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during trophy presentation?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$123.00Apr 6, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$123.15Apr 6, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$120.00Apr 6, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$119.82Apr 5, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$41.30Apr 2, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$50.00Apr 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$91.58Mar 31, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$88.50Mar 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?$88.49Mar 30, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$5.40Mar 26, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$5.40Mar 24, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?$18.90Mar 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$2.16Mar 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?$60.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?$5.00Mar 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times during trophy presentation?$0.45Mar 20, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ball" 10+ times during trophy presentation?$3.35Mar 20, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold" during trophy presentation?$0.03Mar 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during trophy presentation?$1.00Mar 20, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$2.35Mar 19, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $40.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.