Assured-Chili
0x98206c46d962877dba2c06e0b55eac4e0fd44795
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$97.29
Total PnL
$-85.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
52 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$52.23
$0.23
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
25 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
3 shares @ 76.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
15333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
53 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-38.90
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$46.00Dec 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?$39.38Dec 20, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 20?$38.90Dec 20, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?$35.00Dec 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$15.00Dec 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$52.00Dec 10, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.05Dec 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?$2.00Dec 8, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$25.00Dec 5, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.00Dec 3, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $20.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".