Well-Groomed-Assurance
0x9828fd0c6cc71fcebd5082d9cf7e57ecd7bf0f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
29722 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.5K
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
27630 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.2K
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
26460 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.5K
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
26239 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.5K
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
25169 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.1K
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
25050 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
24510 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.6K
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
23020 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
22100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
21325 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.9K
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.04Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$63.11Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$34.1KJul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$10.3KJul 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$4.8KJul 18, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$15.7KJul 12, 04:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$51.47Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$12.2KJul 12, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$1.63Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$240.00Jul 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.6KJul 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$150.08Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$10.34Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$4.34Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.72Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$143.44Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$13.79Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$3.45Jul 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$5.28Jul 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.72Jul 11, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $523.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.