Ironclad-Democracy
0x982e4bea49d0c76e60b94bf48722b26a414ef467
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$43.84
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$8.00
$3.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$8.00
$3.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 11?
7 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$7.00
$2.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$7.00
$2.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 16?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$7.00
$2.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$6.84
$2.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?
906 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?
899 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?
868 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-34.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on April 3?
859 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18?$19.00Apr 20, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18?$21.00Apr 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?$3.86Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?$0.93Apr 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$0.58Apr 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$4.40Apr 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 18?$4.95Apr 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$0.89Apr 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$4.07Apr 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$3.57Apr 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 18?$0.75Apr 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18?$4.96Apr 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$1.43Apr 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18?$1.02Apr 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?$0.21Apr 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?$4.69Apr 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 18?$0.63Apr 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18?$4.80Apr 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$5.00Apr 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?$1.15Apr 18, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".