Powerless-Album
0x9832c77e3ab963f32c91dd90189f42f488d26e4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$356.18
Total PnL
$259.62
Realised
$490.43
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
288 shares @ 76.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$200.22
$-18.72
- NO
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?
240 shares @ 78.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$79.20
$-108.00
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$76.28
$26.28
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?
160 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.48
$-7.01
- YES
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
150 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
150 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.37
- YES
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
150 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.99
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?
30 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- ROMAN SAFIULLIN
Stuttgart Open: Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?$51.52Aug 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?$7.85Aug 14, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?$189.26Aug 13, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?$32.04Aug 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?$12.39Aug 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?$34.63Aug 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$221.57Aug 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$90.21Aug 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?$77.77Aug 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$42.84Aug 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$3.01Aug 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$10.21Aug 9, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$64.65Aug 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$18.93Aug 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$18.07Aug 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?$52.25Aug 7, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$36.99Aug 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?$65.30Aug 6, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?$43.54Aug 6, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?$30.37Aug 6, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.