Ordinary-Trek
0x983a38df219093945f8630ca9c8756622cbc2634
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-360.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.06
$-9.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?
349 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-16.97
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
86 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during announcement today?
70 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?
50 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-28.20
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" during TBPN appearance on October 10?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$104.48Apr 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$14.50Mar 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$13.59Mar 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$8.07Mar 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$13.58Mar 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?$4.60Mar 9, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$70.00Mar 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$36.00Mar 5, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$48.00Mar 3, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?$20.00Mar 3, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$30.00Mar 3, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$10.00Mar 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$25.00Mar 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?$8.20Feb 26, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nine Wars" or "Ninth War" in February?$14.61Feb 26, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".