Early-Paperwork
0x983ade08ff44a13215e734e9f451b121132b6d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
133
Open notional
$40.23
Total PnL
$-126.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
37 shares @ 5.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.77
$5.75
- YES
Will London have 30mm or more of precipitation in May?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.30
$5.30
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.52
$4.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$3.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 13?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 16?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$3.75
- YES
Will London have between 25-30mm of precipitation in May?
6 shares @ 6.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.40
$2.04
- YES
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
6 shares @ 24.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.87
$0.34
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-3.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 23?
952 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.30May 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$0.12May 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.06May 18, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.15May 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.15May 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 25-30mm of precipitation in May?$0.36May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.06May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.30May 18, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 16?$5.00May 18, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?$5.00May 18, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 16?$5.00May 18, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$5.00May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$2.20May 17, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 16?$5.00May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?$1.80May 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 18?$0.14May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?$1.26May 17, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?$5.00May 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?$0.26May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?$0.58May 17, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".