Thick-Insolence
0x983e32885394bad4f760648b3dd1dfe134a89131
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$6.04
Total PnL
$-31.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in January?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Jan 31, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in January?$1.00Jan 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.01Jan 4, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 4, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?$1.01Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".