Lanky-Snowstorm
0x983e8fe88e5dffc55d41aec2c955e8c978c96fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-418.69
Realised
$-10.70
Win rate
0%
101 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
150 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?
61 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 14?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
46 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?
25 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?$1.03Aug 13, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?$12.70Aug 13, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?$17.86Aug 13, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?$0.00Aug 13, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 12?$1.05Aug 12, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?$1.04Aug 11, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?$5.22Aug 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?$5.13Aug 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)$2.05Aug 8, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?$6.67Aug 8, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?$7.43Aug 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?$5.15Aug 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?$5.23Aug 7, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?$5.13Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?$5.18Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City leading at halftime?$3.28Aug 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?$2.05Aug 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?$2.07Aug 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City leading at halftime?$2.04Aug 5, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?$7.69Aug 5, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 101 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
101 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 101 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.