Healthy-Pony
0x983fc38c1cba650ff8af0f7d5192876df029cd7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-58.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.85
$0.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
215 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 11?
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
20 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
18 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.02May 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs$1.55Apr 17, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$3.95Apr 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.00Apr 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00Apr 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$3.00Apr 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Apr 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs$1.00Apr 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$17.54Apr 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.00Apr 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$11.55Apr 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 11, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$9.46Apr 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 10, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 10, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".