0x98431780bbe4f176efa9805f1c7f2f1ef5a3b797
0x98431780bbe4f176efa9805f1c7f2f1ef5a3b797
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$94.78
Total PnL
$-132.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2752 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$69.89
$3.34
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
513 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.89
$5.39
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3337 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
508 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
242 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
130 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 7?
86 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.39
- YES
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-08?
42 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-22.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.85Jun 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.06Jun 2, 12:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $16.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.