Troubled-Doorway
0x984cd7e12730118651b3112a3b045f41571f03aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.99
Total PnL
$-8.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$10.00Feb 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$12.50Feb 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 25, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.64Jan 25, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28?$1.04Dec 4, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?$1.05Dec 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28?$1.00Nov 28, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?$1.00Nov 28, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?$5.18Nov 28, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?$5.00Nov 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Nov 6, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$1.01Nov 6, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$1.04Nov 6, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.26Oct 26, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.02Oct 26, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$5.01Oct 26, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.