Careless-Luncheonette
0x984d54c9b5a01edce3e5cc2911af9314eb1c85c3
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.01
Total PnL
$-22.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 11?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 11?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
6500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Celtics vs. Raptors
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 11?$5.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 11?$1.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?$2.016d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 30?$1.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?$6.5043d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.9943d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00154d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00154d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00154d ago
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Raptors$1.00154d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89154d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$1.00161d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$1.00161d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.00161d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Heat (-5.5)$1.82161d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Clippers (-2.5)$1.89161d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.92161d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 419d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
