Experienced-Confirmation
0x984ebd4d860686f669b0b534d397cc1a01bd27b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.76
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
283 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
265 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-90.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. 76ers$113.64Jan 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. 76ers$50.00Jan 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.17Jan 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$25.86Jan 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$25.86Jan 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$26.77Jan 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$29.09Jan 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.50Jan 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$30.60Jan 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$25.00Jan 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$14.00Jan 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$17.00Jan 11, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".