Assured-Castle
0x98593320076fcb8bcb0ba9034b06b1a85c707a35
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-7.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.38
$0.18
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Enrico Zanieri win Tuscany Regional Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in October 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.20Nov 29, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.14Nov 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.00Oct 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enrico Zanieri win Tuscany Regional Election?$1.00Oct 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in October 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Feb 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$1.40Feb 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$1.30Feb 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 18, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.00Feb 18, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Feb 18, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?$1.15Feb 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.00Jan 7, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?$1.00Jan 7, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$2.00Dec 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00Dec 4, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".