0x9861817f525f6e5adc891af85ddb42054b81da54
0x9861817f525f6e5adc891af85ddb42054b81da54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-623.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Reserve" during Digital Asset Summit?
185 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-38.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 24?
140 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9 PM ET
120 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-61.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 23?
90 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
80 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on May 23?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Beast" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
35 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
- TOMAR
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomar
30 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 18?
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIEM Cologne: Liquid vs. paiN$2.10Jul 23, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Make a deal" during Merz events on June 5?$1.75Jun 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$1.75Jun 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$2.15Jun 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Make a deal" during Merz events on June 5?$1.70Jun 4, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$2.20Jun 4, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$3.40Jun 3, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$3.40Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.70Jun 3, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.85Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9 PM ET$61.20Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7 PM ET$70.00Jun 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7 PM ET$70.00Jun 2, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMHamilton vs. Russell$70.00Jun 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamilton vs. Russell$40.60May 31, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down – May 29 (3 PM ET Candle)$40.00May 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 29 (3 PM ET Candle)$20.40May 29, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on May 28?$20.00May 29, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 28?$10.00May 27, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $36.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".