Original-Violation
0x98618b2d0162594b5fd8d680dba6776f5a375018
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$126.35
Total PnL
$-9.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.35
$-0.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 12?
5040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$126.67May 11, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$3.08May 4, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$3.09May 4, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$47.63May 4, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $600 in April?$75.05May 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$1.56Apr 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $600 in April?$74.91Apr 20, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19?$74.84Apr 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19?$74.77Apr 16, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12?$74.88Apr 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12?$74.81Apr 9, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$2.72Apr 9, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.24Apr 8, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$76.73Apr 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$76.30Apr 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$2.69Apr 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2.31Apr 2, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$46.85Apr 2, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?$3.13Apr 1, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $62.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".