Granular-Marble
0x9865691e447bf2065439e19f38e0eb24ae086552
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.20
Total PnL
$-32.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 11?
12 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$12.20
$0.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
24 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
19 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?$2.30Apr 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 11?$12.00Apr 10, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?$7.14Apr 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?$7.00Apr 2, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?$5.08Apr 2, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.20Apr 2, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$7.14Apr 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?$5.00Feb 25, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 25, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$7.00Feb 25, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$15.46Feb 25, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$15.00Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$12.55Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$12.00Nov 14, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.40Nov 14, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Mavericks$428.00Nov 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Mavericks$222.56Nov 12, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$12.00Oct 7, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$15.00Oct 7, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?$11.02Oct 7, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $17.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.