Understated-Popsicle
0x98677de8fa7fb09ea15be7d455f7515af612f9f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.08
Total PnL
$-13.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4663 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4659 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4659 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2333 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2133 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.01Jan 7, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Dec 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.04Dec 16, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.04Dec 16, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.08Dec 16, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.00Nov 24, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$100.00Nov 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$50.00Nov 10, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$48.00Nov 10, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.0KNov 3, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$9.3KNov 3, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $753.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".